Back to Texas

World Cup by the Numbers: Sherman, the U.S. 75 Corridor and the $1.5 Billion North Texas Projection

Nine matches at AT&T Stadium, $1.5 billion to $2.1 billion in regional economic impact projected by the City of Dallas, and Visit Dallas data showing July hotel revenue up 58 percent. A Sherman look at the Grayson County overflow opportunity.

Savannah Reed

June 14, 20268 min read

World Cup by the Numbers
World Cup by the Numbers

Sherman is the largest city in Grayson County and the closest commercial center north of the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex's hotel market. With nine 2026 FIFA World Cup matches at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, 39 days of FIFA Fan Festival programming at Fair Park, and a regional economic-impact projection between $1.5 billion and $2.1 billion, Sherman's hospitality, retail and short-term rental segments are positioned to capture overflow visitor spend along the U.S. Highway 75 corridor.

By the numbers: North Texas

  • 9 matches at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, the tournament-high total. The slate runs from June 14 through July 14, 2026, and includes five group-stage games, two Round of 32 matches, a Round of 16 contest and a Semi-Final on July 14, per the DFW World Cup 2026 official site.
  • The venue's standard NFL configuration seats roughly 80,000. FIFA's World Cup setup expands seating to about 94,000 fans, according to the DFW World Cup 2026 schedule page.
  • $1.5 billion to $2.1 billion: the City of Dallas regional economic impact projection tied to the 9-match slate, revised upward from the original $415 million estimate that assumed four games. Source: City of Dallas FIFA World Cup 2026 update memo.
  • $3.5 billion: a Texas-wide projection covering 16 matches in the state, 9 at AT&T Stadium and 7 at NRG Stadium in Houston, reported by the Texas Tribune.
  • 3.8 million expected visitors to the Dallas region across the tournament window, 39 days of FIFA Fan Festival programming, six team base camps across North Texas, and 48 national teams participating, per Southern Dallas Magazine.
  • 3,500+ international media representatives expected at the International Broadcast Centre at the Kay Bailey Hutchison Convention Center in downtown Dallas, according to the North Texas Host Committee Playbook.

Sherman, Grayson County and overflow lodging

Visit Dallas data pacing hotel revenue inside Dallas city limits 58 percent above prior year for July 2026, with short-term rentals up 28 percent, per Courier Texas, signals tight downtown inventory during match windows. Sherman, with its existing chain hotel cluster along U.S. 75 and Loy Lake Road, offers a price-disciplined alternative for fans willing to make the drive to Arlington or to base from Sherman during a multi-day visit.

The corridor effect also runs in the other direction. International visitors are projected to spend an average of $350 per day, with international travelers accounting for roughly 40 percent of tournament attendees, per Allianz Trade. A subset of those visitors will treat the Texoma area as a day-trip destination during gaps between match days. Lake Texoma recreation, downtown Sherman dining and Choctaw Casino traffic across the Oklahoma line all pick up some of that spillover.

The AHLA finding that nearly 80 percent of host-city hotels are tracking below original forecasts is a sober reminder that headline projections and on-the-ground booking pace do not always match. Sherman operators should expect uneven demand by match week rather than uniform summer fullness.

Hotels, short-term rentals and flights

Travel demand around the tournament window is showing up in booking pace. Visit Dallas data reported by Courier Texas shows hotel revenue within Dallas city limits pacing 24 percent higher than the prior year in June 2026 and 58 percent higher in July 2026. Short-term rental revenue is pacing 40 percent higher in June and 28 percent higher in July.

KAYAK data reported by the Dallas Express shows flight searches for Dallas up 64 percent year over year, while hotel searches across all 11 U.S. host cities are up 40 percent. Those are top-of-funnel indicators rather than confirmed bookings.

The American Hotel and Lodging Association surveyed hotel operators across the 11 U.S. host cities. Nearly 80 percent reported bookings tracking below original forecasts, and about 70 percent of Dallas and Houston respondents said booking activity looked closer to a typical summer than a World Cup surge, according to the Dallas Express summary. The mixed signal matters: top-line projections assume strong visitor inflows, but operators on the ground are calibrating expectations.

How visitor spend translates to local cash flow

Allianz Trade's tournament outlook estimates international visitors will spend an average of $350 per person per day in the United States during the World Cup, with an average stay of 8 to 10 days. The research firm expects international visitors to make up about 40 percent of tournament attendees, with the remaining 60 percent domestic, per Allianz Trade.

Applied to North Texas, those figures suggest a foreign visitor staying eight days spends roughly $2,800 on lodging, food, retail and ground transport. Local capture depends heavily on whether visitors stay inside Dallas County, push out into Collin, Denton and Grayson counties, or commute in from regional Airbnb inventory.

FIFA Fan Festival and the broadcast hub

Fair Park in Dallas will host the FIFA Fan Festival from June 11 through July 19, 2026, the full 39 days of the tournament. The venue spans more than one million square feet and is built to welcome an average of 35,000 fans per day, per the NTFWCOC Playbook. General admission is free, although entry requires a digital code and premium access tickets are available for purchase. All 104 tournament matches will be broadcast live on site, according to the KickoffAdventures Fan Festival guide.

The Kay Bailey Hutchison Convention Center in downtown Dallas houses the tournament's International Broadcast Centre. More than 3,500 international media representatives are expected to file from that location during the tournament, per the NTFWCOC Playbook. Hotel, food and ground-transport demand from media credentials and crews runs on a different cadence than fan demand: it is concentrated in downtown Dallas and runs the full 39 days.

Where national teams are training

National teams base out of dedicated training and lodging compounds during group play. Frisco's Toyota Stadium has been confirmed as a base camp for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the Community Impact Newspaper reported. Mansfield Multipurpose Stadium will host Czechia's training base, according to NBC Sports. Six team base camps are slated across North Texas, per the host committee summary in Southern Dallas Magazine.

Base camps anchor a roughly two to four week local economic footprint: team and staff lodging, security, training-ground operations, broadcast positions, and the visiting press corps that follows each delegation. The cash flow reaches surrounding restaurants, retail and ground-transport vendors well before any match day at AT&T Stadium.

The macro view: meaningful regionally, modest nationally

Independent analysis frames the national impact as small. A Saxo Bank report dated May 26, 2026 estimates the tournament will add roughly $17 billion to U.S. gross domestic product, less than 0.1 percent of annual GDP. The report states, quote, in other words, the 2026 World Cup is not a meaningful growth driver for the United States, unquote, per the Saxo Bank publication. The same conclusion was reported by Max Zahn for ABC News on May 30, 2026.

A FIFA-WTO release in April 2025, citing OpenEconomics modeling for both the 2025 Club World Cup and the 2026 World Cup, projects the World Cup 2026 portion will generate $30.5 billion in U.S. gross output, $17.2 billion in U.S. GDP and 185,000 full-time-equivalent jobs across the cycle, per FIFA.

Economist Andrew Zimbalist, Robert A. Woods Professor Emeritus of Economics at Smith College, told the college's news service on June 11, 2026: quote, There are very, very significant costs to host cities, which host anywhere from four to eight games, unquote. Zimbalist added, quote, I think it's fair to say that none of them will benefit economically from [the World Cup] because they don't get the revenue, but they get the costs, which can run well over $100 million, unquote, per Smith College. The bracketed phrase is the source publication's own editorial insertion.

An economic-lens reading of those views: the World Cup is a tightly timed surge that compresses 39 days of spending into a single quarter. Aggregate national GDP barely moves, but local hospitality, food and beverage, ground transport, retail and short-term rental sectors capture concentrated revenue, while host-city public budgets shoulder security, staging and infrastructure costs. North Texas, with the tournament-high nine matches and a Semi-Final, sits at the upper end of that benefit-cost curve.

A parallel analysis by AcadeResearch synthesizes these same projections and emphasizes that the headline tournament numbers, the FIFA-WTO figures, the Allianz Trade visitor estimates and the Saxo Bank macro outlook are best read as a range rather than a point forecast.

References

DFW World Cup 2026 official site. (2026). AT&T Stadium matches. https://www.dfwworldcup2026.com/en/matches

City of Dallas. (2026). FIFA World Cup 2026 Update, Convention and Event Services. https://dallascityhall.com/government/citymanager/Documents/FY24-25%20Memos/FIFA%20World%20Cup%202026%20Update%20-%20Convention%20and%20Event%20Services.pdf

Texas Tribune. (2026, May 6). Texas World Cup tourists, economic impact. https://www.texastribune.org/2026/05/06/texas-world-cup-tourists-economic-impact/

Courier Texas. (2026). The economic impact of the World Cup on Texas (Visit Dallas data). https://couriertexas.com/news/the-economic-impact-of-the-world-cup-on-texas/

Dallas Express. (2026, May 13). World Cup hype vs reality: are Texas hotel bookings falling short? (KAYAK and AHLA data). https://dallasexpress.com/sports/world-cup-hype-vs-reality-are-texas-hotel-bookings-falling-short-of-expectations/

FIFA. (2025, April). FIFA-WTO study estimates USD 47 billion economic output (joint Club World Cup 2025 and World Cup 2026 release). https://inside.fifa.com/organisation/media-releases/fifa-wto-study-estimates-usd-47-billion-economic-output-from-fifa-club-world

Allianz Trade. (2026). From kickoff to cash flow: Football World Championship 2026. https://www.allianz-trade.com/en_global/news-insights/economic-insights/From-kickoff-to-cash-flow-Football-World-Championship-2026.html

Saxo Bank. (2026, May 26). World Cup 2026: economic impact on the United States. https://www.home.saxo/content/articles/equities/world-cup-2026-eng-26052026

Smith College. (2026, June 11). 2026 World Cup brings high costs to host cities (Andrew Zimbalist). https://www.smith.edu/news-events/news/2026-world-cup-high-costs-host-cities

Community Impact. (2025, June 11). Frisco's Toyota Stadium announced as base camp for 2026 FIFA World Cup. https://communityimpact.com/dallas-fort-worth/frisco/sports/2025/06/11/friscos-toyota-stadium-announced-as-base-camp-for-2026-fifa-world-cup/

NBC Sports. (2026). 2026 World Cup base camps: where will each team be based. https://www.nbcsports.com/soccer/news/2026-world-cup-base-camps-where-will-each-team-be-based-during-the-tournament

North Texas FIFA World Cup 2026 Organizing Committee. (2025, October). NTFWCOC Playbook. https://www.dallasfwc26.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/NTFWCOC_Playbook_ENGLISH-8.5-x-11-in-updated-Oct-22-2025.pdf

KickoffAdventures. (2026). World Cup 2026 Dallas Fan Festival guide. https://www.kickoffadventures.com/blog/world-cup-2026-dallas-fan-festival-guide

Southern Dallas Magazine. (2026). Game on, Dallas: your small business playbook for the world's biggest stage. https://www.southerndallasmagazine.com/game-on-dallas-your-small-business-playbook-for-the-worlds-biggest-stage/

AcadeResearch. (2026, June 13). World Cup 2026 economic analysis: USA by the numbers. https://acaderesearch.com/world-cup-2026-economic-analysis-usa-numbers/

Share

Savannah Reed

Savannah Reed writes about community life, culture, and events in Sherman.

Related Stories